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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to earn 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a top-tier 15.1% Target Rate (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Jahmyr Gibbs places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

With a remarkable 21.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Jahmyr Gibbs places among the best RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cardinals, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Jahmyr Gibbs profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among RBs, hauling in just 72.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

The Cardinals pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.99 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

More Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props

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