My Account Log Out
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the projections to rank in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.1 targets.
  • With an outstanding 23.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (85th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs places as one of the best pass-catching RBs in football.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 82.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a noteworthy improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 73.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 126.1 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 16.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 22.1.
  • This year, the tough Bills defense has surrendered a measly 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-best rate in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™