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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Jahmyr Gibbs to total 3.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Jahmyr Gibbs has been one of the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging a remarkable 22.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Jahmyr Gibbs's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 73.7% to 79.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 16.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 22.1.

This year, the imposing Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered a measly 81.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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