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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to accrue 4.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs.

THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to be a more important option in his team's passing attack this week (13.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.9% in games he has played).

The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has shown bad efficiency versus RBs since the start of last season, giving up 6.63 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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