Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to accumulate 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
Jahmyr Gibbs has accrued a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
Jahmyr Gibbs places in the 98th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 23.8 mark this year.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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