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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).

The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.

The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to earn 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

When it comes to air yards, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the towering 87th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a whopping 2.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.9% pass rate.

Jahmyr Gibbs grades out as one of the bottom running backs in the league at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 5.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.

The Chargers pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.34 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.

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