Jahmyr Gibbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2024

Updated Oct 28, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are an enormous 12.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Lions as the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
In this week's game, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by the projections to place in the 77th percentile among running backs with 13.9 carries.
Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the 80th percentile for carries this year, taking on 46.2% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's unit has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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