Jahmyr Gibbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 8:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.
The Lions have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

Favors Under

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Arizona's safety corps has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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