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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.

In this game, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.5 rush attempts.

The model projects Jahmyr Gibbs to be a more integral piece of his offense's ground game in this contest (67.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.7% in games he has played).

The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the 28th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 42.7% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.2 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.

More Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props

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