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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects the Lions to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Jahmyr Gibbs has earned 48.3% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Bears safeties grade out as the best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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