Jahmyr Gibbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 2:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-103/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by the predictive model to place in the 95th percentile among running backs with 16.7 carries.
Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to be a more integral piece of his team's run game in this contest (62.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (32.8% in games he has played).
In regards to opening holes for runners (and the impact it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Lions offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.64 seconds per snap.
The Ravens linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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