Jahmyr Gibbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 6, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 46.1% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 75th percentile for carries this year, making up 32.8% of the workload in his team's run game.
The Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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