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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.4% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to total 14.5 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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