Jahmyr Gibbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.4% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to total 14.5 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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