Jahmyr Gibbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Lions rank as the 2nd-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 47.6% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to be a much bigger part of his team's running game this week (36.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.3% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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