Jahmyr Gibbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4 points.
Right now, the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football (40.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Lions.
The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
Jahmyr Gibbs has received 42.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's LB corps has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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