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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

This year, the shaky Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has been gouged for a massive 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's safety corps has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jahan Dotson's 15.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 33.1.

Jahan Dotson's receiving performance has tailed off this season, notching just 1.0 adjusted catches compared to 2.8 last season.

More Jahan Dotson Player Props

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