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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

This year, the porous New York Giants pass defense has surrendered a whopping 69.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 6th-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

Jahan Dotson's 15.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 33.1.

Jahan Dotson's pass-catching performance worsened this year, compiling a mere 1.2 adjusted receptions compared to 2.8 last year.

Jahan Dotson's 55.4% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 60.3% rate.

The Giants linebackers rank as the 5th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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