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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

This year, the weak Chiefs pass defense has conceded a monstrous 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the biggest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

Jahan Dotson's 5.2% Target Share this season illustrates a material decrease in his air attack utilization over last season's 13.7% figure.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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