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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are projected by the model to run 65.9 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.

The Panthers pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68%) versus wideouts this year (68.0%).

The Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a big 14-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 42.9% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Jahan Dotson's 14.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 33.1.

Jahan Dotson's 1.0 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 2.8 rate.

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