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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 67.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.

The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.8 per game) this year.

Jahan Dotson's 15.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 33.1.

Jahan Dotson's play as a receiver has diminished this season, totaling a measly 1.0 adjusted catches compared to 2.8 last season.

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