My Account Log Out

reorder

Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

Jahan Dotson's 34.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 44.0.

Jahan Dotson's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 64.4% to 61.0%.

The 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Jahan Dotson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™