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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Jahan Dotson's 33.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 44.0.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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