Jahan Dotson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Jahan Dotson

WR · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.42 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Jahan Dotson has been on the field for 78.9% of his team's snaps this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among WRs.
The Cleveland Browns safeties project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Washington Commanders O-line has given their QB 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.