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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-195).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jahan Dotson to garner 6.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the highest Completion% in football (75.7%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (75.7%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 11th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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