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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-119/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

This year, the deficient Jaguars defense has been torched for the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a colossal 9.01 yards.

The Jaguars pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.23 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After accumulating 48.0 air yards per game last year, Jahan Dotson has seen a big decrease this year, now boasting 14.0 per game.

Jahan Dotson's 15.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 33.1.

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