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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • Jahan Dotson's 3.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a substantial improvement in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 2.2% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
  • Jahan Dotson's 5.2% Target Share this season illustrates a material decrease in his air attack utilization over last season's 13.7% figure.
  • Jahan Dotson has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (12.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).

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