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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.

Jahan Dotson's talent in picking up extra yardage have improved this year, averaging 3.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 2.22 rate last year.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Washington's group of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.

The projections expect the Eagles as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 25.9 per game) this year.

Jahan Dotson has been a less important option in his offense's pass attack this year (5.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.7%).

After accruing 46.0 air yards per game last year, Jahan Dotson has seen a big downtick this year, now pacing 13.0 per game.

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