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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-128).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles will be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the model to run 67.7 plays on offense in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.

The Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Jahan Dotson's ability to pick up extra yardage has been refined this season, notching 3.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 2.22 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Eagles to pass on 46.6% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Jahan Dotson has been much less involved in his team's passing game this year (5.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.7%).

After accumulating 46.0 air yards per game last season, Jahan Dotson has seen a big downtick this season, now sitting at 13.0 per game.

Jahan Dotson's 15.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year reflects a substantial regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 32.0 figure.

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