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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

Jahan Dotson's 3.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a meaningful growth in his effectiveness in space over last season's 2.2% figure.

This year, the deficient Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a massive 8.67 yards.

This year, the feeble Steelers defense has been gouged for the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a massive 4.40 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 46.8% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

Jahan Dotson has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense this season (6.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.8%).

After accumulating 48.0 air yards per game last season, Jahan Dotson has seen a big decline this season, now boasting 13.0 per game.

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