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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are projected by the model to run 65.9 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • Jahan Dotson's 3.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a substantial improvement in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 2.2% mark.
  • The Panthers pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68%) versus wideouts this year (68.0%).
  • The Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a big 14-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 42.9% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Jahan Dotson has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).
  • Jahan Dotson's 14.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 33.1.
  • Jahan Dotson's 10.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year shows a noteworthy decline in his receiving talent over last year's 32.0 figure.

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