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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The 7th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: most in football.

Jahan Dotson's 4.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a remarkable growth in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 2.2% figure.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (193.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Eagles as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are predicted by the model to run just 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.

After accumulating 48.0 air yards per game last season, Jahan Dotson has been a disappointment this season, currently pacing 14.0 per game.

Jahan Dotson's 14.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 33.1.

Jahan Dotson's 10.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a remarkable regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 32.0 rate.

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