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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the anemic Cowboys defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a massive 8.95 yards.
  • This year, the weak Dallas Cowboys defense has been gouged for the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a monstrous 4.56 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • After accumulating 48.0 air yards per game last season, Jahan Dotson has fallen off this season, currently pacing 17.0 per game.
  • Jahan Dotson's 15.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 33.1.

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