Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Jahan Dotson

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-126/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 9.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Commanders are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.3 plays per game.
Jahan Dotson has run a route on 86.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 9th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Jahan Dotson has been among the weakest wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 123.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, giving up 7.12 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the NFL.