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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

Jahan Dotson has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (50.0 per game) than he did last year (78.0 per game).

Jahan Dotson's 34.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 44.0.

Jahan Dotson's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 64.4% to 61.0%.

Jahan Dotson's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, notching just 7.11 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.42 mark last season.

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