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Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

After accruing 78.0 air yards per game last year, Jahan Dotson has fallen off this year, now pacing 50.0 per game.

Jahan Dotson's 33.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 44.0.

Jahan Dotson's pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, notching a measly 7.02 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.42 figure last season.

With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Jahan Dotson places among the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL in the open field.

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