Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Jahan Dotson

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.5% of their chances: the highest rate among all teams this week.
As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.44 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) right now.
The Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (38.0 per game) this year.

Favors Under

After accumulating 78.0 air yards per game last year, Jahan Dotson has seen a big decline this year, currently boasting 61.0 per game.
Jahan Dotson's 7.3 adjusted yards per target this season represents a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 9.4 rate.
With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Jahan Dotson stands among the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL in space.
The Seahawks pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.28 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the league.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Seattle's group of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.