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Jahan Dotson
NFL · Player Props
Jahan Dotson
WR · Washington Commanders
Receiving Yards
Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 20, 2022 6:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards

Jahan Dotson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +100.

Favors Over
  • The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jahan Dotson has accumulated a whopping 67.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 9.85 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in the league.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.27 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in football.
Favors Under
  • The Commanders are an enormous 11.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.11 seconds per play.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
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