Jahan Dotson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jahan Dotson

NFL · Player Props

Jahan Dotson

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving TD

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jahan Dotson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+336/-636).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -576 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -636.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jahan Dotson has accrued a monstrous 66.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile among wideouts.
Jahan Dotson ranks in the 96th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.62 per game.
The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Washington Commanders O-line has given their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The New York Giants defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Commanders are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in football.
The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New York Giants pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.7%) versus WRs this year (63.7%).

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