My Account Log Out

reorder

Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-160/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +134 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are huge underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

With a stellar 72.4% Adjusted Completion% (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Jacoby Brissett ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 4th-least pass-focused offense in the league (55.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.

The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Jacoby Brissett is anticipated by the projections to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.3.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in football.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

More Jacoby Brissett Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™