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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+171/-227).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +186 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +171.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 61.5% red zone pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

Jacoby Brissett is positioned as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL since the start of last season with a stellar 66.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 84th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 125.5 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

The 49ers defense has surrendered the 3rd-fewest passing TDs in football: 1.13 per game this year.

The 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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