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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Jacoby Brissett's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 60.2% to 65.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 50.2% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 32.3 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in football vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year (66.9%).

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