Jacoby Brissett TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jacoby Brissett

NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

TD Passes

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 11:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -240.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Jacoby Brissett's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 60.2% to 65.0%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 50.2% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 32.3 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in football vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year (66.9%).

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