Jacoby Brissett TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jacoby Brissett

NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

TD Passes

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-210).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-highest level in football versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (73.1%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 50.8% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 32.6 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all QBs.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 9th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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