Jacoby Brissett TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jacoby Brissett

NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

TD Passes

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+188/-250).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Jacoby Brissett's throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 60.2% to 66.1%.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in football vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (74.8%).
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded the 4th-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 2.25 per game this year.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 50.6% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 31.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.

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