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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+183/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -235.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 51.0% red zone pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 33.0 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in football versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (66.5%).

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