My Account Log Out
 
 
Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+162/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +172 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +162.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Jacoby Brissett's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 60.2% to 65.6%.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 49.7% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 2nd-least touchdowns through the air in the league: 1.00 per game this year.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™