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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

Jacoby Brissett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+198/-260).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their quarterback 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 52.1% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 32.2 passes this week, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.

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