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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (44.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Patriots.

Jacoby Brissett has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (7.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (1.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 122.0 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Patriots since the start of last season (just 56.3 per game on average).

The projections expect Jacoby Brissett to accumulate 1.6 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.

The opposing side have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 90.0 per game) vs. the 49ers defense since the start of last season.

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