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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 9th-most run-heavy team in football (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Patriots.

While Jacoby Brissett has been responsible for 1.7% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played last year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of New England's run game in this week's contest at 11.6%.

Last year, the stout Bengals run defense has given up a measly 4.67 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 25th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Bengals linebackers profile as the 6th-worst unit in football last year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are enormous -9-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots last year (just 56.2 per game on average).

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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