Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jacoby Brissett

NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-101/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 42.7% run rate.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this week (13.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.8% in games he has played).
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
Jacoby Brissett has run for many more yards per game (17.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to accrue 4.0 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Cleveland Browns have gone up against a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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