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Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jacoby Brissett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-122).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 42.9% run rate.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.5 plays per game.
  • Jacoby Brissett has averaged 3.3 carries per game this year, one of the highest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (76th percentile).
  • THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (10.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.9% in games he has played).
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least yards in football (just 102 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
  • The Cleveland Browns have gone up against a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box versus opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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